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Lucky
Lester was 8-6 with his picks last week making
him 40-30-4 on the year. Super Picks were once
again not even playoff material at 1-3. Lowlight
of the week was Grandma's favorites, the Seattle Seahawks,
blowing a 27-10 lead with five minutes left in
the game. She was up and dancing for hours but watched
the ending with horror and disbelief. It proved too
much and her mind snapped and she began repeating, "What's
left for me… the CFL!" She is in a very expensive
HOME now. The good news is that they have a TV there
so she can watch her precious CFL while I get ready
for a dazzling week six in the NFL!
My Super Picks sure have sucked lately so this week
I'm just picking the games:
Lucky
Lester's Picks For Week Six
49ers
@ Jets (+10) - Okay, unfortunately for the Niners,
I think the best of their season is behind them. After
pulling one out last week, I see the Jets blowing up
in the Niners face this week. Chad Pennington can lead
his team to victory and will dominate a Niner's defense
who's best player is injured, (Julian Peterson), and
tired because of the lack of offensive firepower.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Seahawks
(+4) @ Patriots - The Patriots pulled off another
win last week against a very sub par Miami squad. The
Hawks lost an overtime game where they gave up two touchdowns
in the final 5 minutes of regulation time to allow the
Rams back in it. So it would seem that I would take
the seemingly unbeatable Patriots here right? Wrong.
The Patriots can't stop the run and the Seahawks are
best when running comes easy, setting up Hasselbeck.
They're getting four points, but I see the Hawks doing
the unthinkable here and halting the Pat's right before
their 20th straight win. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00
ET
Panthers
(+9) @ Eagles - While the Eagles are tough, and
possibly one of the best teams in the league, it's hard
to go against the theme that has me making money. Every
week I've taken the Panthers as underdogs they've done
me proud. This week they are nine point dogs, and that
is too big to pass up. You'd think the eagles were playing
the Niner's with that kind of spread. Sure, the Panthers
are banged up, but they have a ton of heart, and love
to be underdogs, so I see them giving the Eagles a ride
here, and maybe even coming out victorious. Stephen
Davis is back, and that alone should get the Panthers
within the spread. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Bengals
(+3) @ Browns - It's a no brainer for me. I bet
against the poor Browns every week and this week they
are giving points to a better team in the Bengals. Carson
Palmer had a week to think about this one, and in only
his first season he needed it and will show how much
it helped. The Browns are a soft offense with a good
defense. Take the points. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00
ET
Packers
@ Lions (+2) - I've got to take the Lions here.
They are good and way better then the odds makers has
made them. The Lions have played tough all year. Favre
is customarily poor in domes, and the packers are terrible
this year. After a big win in week one, they have yet
to grab number two. It's hard to imagine the Packers
losing five straight, but not that hard. The Lions are
getting points at home where they are at their best.
The Packers are giving points in a dome where they are
at there worst, and this year, that's pretty bad. My
money is on the Lions here. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00
ET
Redskins
(even) @ Bears - I see Clinton Portis bouncing back
this week after sub par performances in his last few
outings. The Bears are without their starting quarterback,
who was average at best, so I can't see their offense
moving down the field. Lavar Arrington might be back
and give the Redskins the boost they need to get another
win this week. Take the Skins in this snooze fest.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Texans
(+6.5) @ Titans - The Titans rolled over a road
kill Packer team last week in Green Bay, and any other
year I'd be impressed. But they aren't the first team
to do it this year. The Texans fought one of the league's
toughest teams all the way into overtime last week,
only to come out losers in the end. Don't let their
record trick you, they are a good team. David Carr has
proven to me that he is a damn good football player
and will always give his team a chance to stay in it.
This will be a high scoring affair, but look for the
Texans to get closer then 6, if not win the game outright
in Tennessee. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Chargers
@ Falcons (-4.5) - As you know, I hate taking
the Falcons when they are favored by any more than three,
and in this situation, with the Chargers beating some
good teams, it might look weird that I'm taking Atlanta
here. But, you've got to see it my way. The Chargers
are not as good as their record indicates, and Mike
Vick has to be better then his numbers would tell you.
He'll be up to his old tricks in Atlanta on Sunday.
He will be feeding the ball to Peerless Price, who finally
caught some balls last week. Vick will finally show
us the real Charger team, which will likely begin the
slide we had all expected from San Diego since day one.
Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Chiefs
@ Jaguars (+2) - Hmmmmm... take the Chiefs in
Jacksonville against a team that specializes in stopping
the run and will be on their toes against the best back
in the league, or, take the Jaguars who just got trounced
by San Diego? This is tougher than I thought it would
be. But, the Jaguars are getting two points at home,
and the Chiefs are 1-3... it's still too tough. Okay,
two weeks in a row, the Jag's D has given up a 100 yard
rusher, even though last week the back who got 100 yards
did it all on one run, they still gave up a hundred.
So, on that note, I think they are motivated to halt
The Priest, and lead their team to victory over Kansas
City. Oh, did I mention the Chiefs' defense is hideous?
Absolutely terrible. Game Date: 10/17/04 13:00 ET
Steelers
(+3) @ Cowboys - The Cowboys overachieved last year,
has anybody noticed that? Then why are they still getting
odds like they are an 11 win team? The Steelers, on
the other hand, have been wonderful this year with rookie
star Ben Roethlisberger coming out and giving them a
lift in Tommy Maddox's absence. Duce Staley is showing
us that he still has it, and the receiving corps in
Pittsburgh is finally playing like they should be. Their
D is solid too. The Boys under star coach Bill Parcels
are finally playing down to their talent level and Keyshawn
is showing everyone why he was not so loved in Tampa
Bay. Eddie George hasn't done much, but it's not his
fault... the team just isn't that good. Game Date:
10/17/04 16:15 ET
Bronco's
(-2) @ Raiders - I just can't bet on the Raiders
here. I don't know why, but they just don't look like
a team that's going to take down Denver. I don't think
Denver is as good as their record, and usually love
to bet against them, so lets just say this is a gut
feeling. With Jerry Rice looking to be traded, the team
can't be in a loving mood. They will play like a team
with questions on Sunday. Look for the Bronco's to beat
Oakland here.
Game Date: 10/17/04 16:15 ET
Minnesota
(-3.5) @ Saints - Are you kidding. Once again, the
odds makers have to be up to something here. I'd still
take the Vikings if they were 7 point favorites against
a terrible New Orleans squad. Brooks might step up to
his talent level and play well on Sunday, but I wouldn't
bet on it. The Vikings beat a tough Houston team in
Houston last week, and they will be up for this game
in New Orleans. Randy Moss will be looking to get this
thing over quickly so he and Daunte Culpepper can go
Mardi Gras after the game. Beads are good for everybody,
so I'm betting my whole collection here.
Game Date: 10/17/04 20:35 ET
Buccaneers
(+6) @ Rams - Last week, against Seattle was a fluke,
and the Rams still are suddenly old. I see an interception
fest happening here, and the Tampa Bay D scoring a couple
touchdowns. The Buc's, without a solid offense, will
manage to keep it close. The 6-point spread is too large
for me to go with St Louis. Game
Date: 10/18/04 21:05 ET
WAGERING
SMART MAKES WATCHING NFL GAMES MORE FUN
Good
Luck with your NFL Football Wagering!
Lucky Lester
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