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Lucky
was too generous for Christmas going 5-10-1 which
brings the season record to 116-111-7. This is
a very tricky week with so many meaningless games. Stay
tuned for Playoff Winners next week. Here goes crazy
week seventeen.
Cincinnati ( -3.5 ) at Philadelphia - The Bengals
should easily trump the Eagles who played third stringers
most of last weeks loss to the St. Louis Rams. Damn
them! Lost me money. Wouldn't it be funny if the Rams
made the playoffs, snuck out a win in the first week,
and then upset Philly at home in week 2? Just a thought.
Karma's a son of a bitch, Andy Reid. Okay, so maybe
I'm being a little harsh. Andy is obviously more confident
in his offense minus Terrell Owens than I am, but that's
why he eats like I do but still gets paid about 1000
times what I do. Livin' larger in week 17, the Eagles
will relax and let the Bengals play themselves into
a lower draft pick. Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
Cleveland
at Houston(-10.5) - The Texans should win and
get to 8-8 to finish the year against the horrendous
Browns. Unfortunately, this will do nothing for their
team. I take that back, it gives them something to build
on, a step in the right direction, and those are two
good things for a team that was brand spanking new just
three years ago. David Carr has some off-season improvement
strides to make, though he did show some promise earlier
in the year. The Browns, well, they have a lot to think
about. Cleveland has a positive in Lee Suggs, and might
look to unload William Green. This game should be a
good old fashion lashing, leaving the Browns wincing
in pain from another season spent at the bottom of the
barrel. Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
Detroit
at Tennessee(+3) - Billy Volek should rediscover
the tricks that made him a fantasy stud for all those
risk takers out there. He had a tough time of it against
a possessed Denver defense, but should find open "Billy
Volek" style pastures against the (yawn) Lions
Roaring Defensive Unit. Look for Detroit to head into
the off season limping, questioning their quarterback
situation, and praying that Charles Rogers can make
it a year without a broken collar bone. At least the
Lions have found a running back worth keeping around,
in Kevin Jones.
Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
Green
Bay(+3) at Chicago - Green Bay should beat the hapless
Bears in Chicago. With the playoffs only a week a way,
look for Green Bay to get back to what they do best,
feed Ahman Green, and this week Najeh Davenport, the
ball. Brett Favre will start, then give way to his back
up who has played well this year. The Packers will be
too much for a Bears team that has been flipped, powdered,
and whooped every which way this year. The Packers are
+3, and though this might seem like a useless game for
the Pack, they won't be excited about going into a big
game after a loss to the Bears. Look for the Pack to
win here. Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
Miami
at Baltimore(-10) - The Dolphins have been an
admirable foe of late, but will find a tough go at a
ticked off Baltimore defense. AJ Feely will have his
problems, and the Dolphins' running game won't do anything
to help his cause. The Ravens will need some help from
some AFC teams even if they win, a feat they should
take care of easily against the visiting Dolphins. Let
the Nick Saban coaching carousel begin. Game Date:
01/02/05 13:00 ET
Minnesota
( -3.5 ) at Washington - Minnesota should be able
to corral another over priced, under productive Redskins
bunch that still reflects the failure that was Steve
Spurrier. This win is important to the Vikings, which
could be a bad thing, if you remember last years last
second debacle to the Cardinals. This year I see the
finale being a little different for the Vikings, who
could cause waves in the weak NFC playoff race. Minnesota
will come out with guns blazing against a good Redskins
D. The Vikings D will be able to slow a pathetic Redskin
offense without Clinton Portis, and take this game with
ease. Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
New
Orleans at Carolina(-8) - Carolina takes this
game, because it means something to the Saints. Unfortunately
for New Orleans, that doesn't bode well for their chances.
Sure, the Saints have pulled off some wins lately, when
they were all but dead. And now, at 7-8, a win could
very well get them in. So that settles it. The Saints
need to win so they won't. Plus, there is no way their
defense, which is horrible, could halt anything the
Panthers will throw at them. Mushin Muhammed has done
well for himself in this contract year, and I imagine
he alone will put an end to New Orleans playoff hopes,
in turn lighting the way for the once 1-6 Panthers.
Amazing! Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
N.Y.
Jets(-3) at St. Louis - The Rams have only won 3
games this year by more than a touchdown. That includes
last weeks 20-7 win against the Eagles B-Team. While
they managed a much-needed W against the Eagles last
week, that possibility seems highly unlikely in the
last week of the regular season. Mike Martz found last
week that if he gives the ball to one of his two stud
running backs, or both of them, he can win a game. This
week he will be back to his old stubborn self, directing
futile bombs downfield. It's also crucial that the Jets
need to win this game to assure their spot in the playoffs.
The Jets win this one easily, ending a year that might
mark the end of Martz's coaching era in St. Louis. Game
Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
Pittsburgh
(+9) at Buffalo - I think the Steelers will start
Tommy Maddox, and he'll be looking to make something
happen. Unlike Philadelphia and Atlanta, the Steelers'
backup quarterback could start for at least 10 teams;
Buffalo being one of those teams. The Bills have gotten
so far and it would be a shame to see them lose to a
Steelers team that has nothing more to play for. But
that doesn't mean it won't happen. The Steelers have
a lot of talented guys on their team, and should put
up a good fight against a Bills team that will be doing
everything they can to win. On a positive note for the
Bills, Drew Bledsoe showed off those young legs last
week with a 7-yard trot down field. I almost choked
on my bratwurst. Speaking of choke, plan on watching
Bledsoe do a lot of it in his last game as starter for
the Bills. Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
San
Francisco(+14) at New England - I'm going to take
San Francisco here. My only explanation is, why should
New England play anybody worth a donkey's ass? As the
game has made clear, any injury can happen at any time,
and why would a brilliant football mind like Bill Belichick
make the mistake of playing anyone important to his
title hopes? I believe the Patriots will win. But in
a game where 14 points could easily win the game, I
don't see the Pats winning by 14. I hate picking a team
that will share snaps between Cody Pickett and Ken Dorsey,
but that's my bet. Game Date: 01/02/05 13:00 ET
Atlanta
at Seattle (-6 ) - Seattle should take care of
the Falcons. I read that Vick would start but only play
a couple of series against the Hawks. The article said;
they just wanted Vick sharp for the playoffs. Okay.
They need to do a hell of a lot more to than give him
a couple series to do that. He hasn't been sharp for
two games in a row, this year. I'm a huge Vick fan,
but he's got some serious consistency issues. I also
think his contract might be a little ridiculous, and
think there are at least 5 better quarterbacks than
him. (Culpepper, Manning, McNabb, Favre, Brady, and
Drew Bledsoe) Okay just kidding about the last one.
And I know, I've heard it all, Vick is more than just
a quarterback, "he's a playmaker". Sure he
is, and he's a damn good one, but he needs to be a little
more "quarterback" a little more often. Take
the Hawks here, they haven't mailed it in yet, they
still have a lot to improve on before next week.
Game Date: 01/02/05 16:05 ET
Tampa
Bay at Arizona(-3) - I like the Cardinals this
last weekend. They've been learning the game under one
of the game's great coaches, and he knows how important
it is to end the season on a good note. Gruden, a younger
less experienced coach, just likes to make some good
faces on the last day. Tampa Bay came up short the last
few weeks, and will do it again in Arizona. Boldin's
getting yards and Fitzgerald is catching touchdowns,
a combination that should flourish in the next few years.
Green has coached a feisty team all year, I can't wait
to see them improve in the off season. Take the Cards
in Arizona against a team that folded it up a week ago.
Game Date: 01/02/05 16:05 ET
Indianapolis(+9)
at Denver - Look for mighty Joe Hamilton, or whoever
plays for the Colts to light it up against Denver. Though
Denver is fighting for their playoff lives, the prospect
of them getting beat by a Colts team that has nothing
to play for is too good to pass up. Give Peyton a solid
50 TDs, that's a good number to finish the season on.
The Colts have good back ups at all positions on offense,
from Dominic Rhodes to a young wide receiver crew. Tony
D isn't one who appreciates ending the season on a loss
to someone they might face in week one of the playoffs.
Look for the Colts to jump out quick and then hold on
by capitalizing on one of Jake Plummer's 20+ interceptions.
Game Date: 01/02/05 16:15 ET
Jacksonville
( no line ) at Oakland - The Jags showed their first
signs of how young they are last week, when they had
a diarrhea attack against Houston. Houston has played
tough all year, but had nothing to play for, so c'mon
Jag's you've got to put in a better effort if you want
to go to the playoffs. The Raiders are done, and looking
for another high pick for the second year in a row.
Al Davis can't be excited about that. Don't expect them
to have the same problems next year. As for Sunday,
expect Jacksonville to give the playoffs their best
shot. They need help, but could get it, and they own
some important tiebreakers. Fred Taylor needs to have
a day for Jacksonville, and I believe he will. Game
Date: 01/02/05 16:15 ET
Kansas
City(-3) at San Diego - With the Chargers jumping
on the "let your team rest" band wagon, properly
led by the Eagles and Falcons a week ago, the Chiefs
should pull this one off. I'd love to believe that the
Chargers will keep their starters in all game, but LT
has already been rumored to sit the second half off,
if not more. Brees and Gates, and others will get the
same treatment, and Larry Johnson will take advantage
of the Charger second teamers on defense. Kansas City
beats the spread, and ends a mediocre year. Watch out
for them next year. Game Date: 01/02/05 16:15 ET
Dallas
at N.Y. Giants(-3) - The Manning era has begun
in NY, and he has done better lately. Everyone says
he's going to be great, and I can't argue with that.
Good genes will win out anyway. Tiki Barbar, will be
looking to finish his great season off with a bang,
and should get plenty of chances to do so against a
weak Cowboy defense. Look for him to get involved in
the passing game as well. The Giants gave their season
away to train their future, and it might have paid off.
The Giants will look to be back in the race next year,
and it all starts with beating the Cowboys in week 17.
Their first round pick goes to San Diego anyway, so
there's nothing to lose there. For the Cowboys, the
question looms, will Bill Parcels pull his head out
of his ass and start Drew Henson? Either way, the Boys
end with another L.
Game
Date: 01/02/05 20:35 ET
WAGERING
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Good
Luck with your NFL Football Wagering!
Lucky Lester
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